Dangerous to do this at this time of year but...

A just-for-funsies:

Bit of a surprise this Sunday morn..

Did NOT see this coming.  Even yesterday, all the models had the precip going south of us, with Ottawa getting grazed, if at all.   See map from A/W below:

Guess this is one of the jabs I was talking about...

Friday Funny

If you don't get it, you're not a SW fan...really.

Quick post

Env. Can. is pulling out a 5-10 cm dump tonight in their latest forecast.   I am having a hard time believing it.  Most short term models are giving us at most 5cms before the change over to rain tomorrow morning...

We could look a whole lot whiter again tomorrow...until it all melts tomorrow afternoon.

Winter's on the ropes...

But not down.   While we will get closer to "normal" and we will see a lot of the white stuff melt away, I think there will still be a jab or two that will straighten us up for a bit, perhaps even a body blow.   In the mean time, enjoy the milder temps this weekend.

In case you were wondering...

Ottawa Airport broke a 74 year record yesterday.   Yesterday's measured low temperature of -20.1C broke the March 24th -20.0 C record set in 1940.

We also broke a 53 year record on March 17th.  Old Mar. 17 record was -20.6C in 1961. In 2014 we measured -21.6C.

But do we hear that in the media?  Me thinks not.

Maritimes to get hammered...again.

Snowfall warning

1:15 PM EDT Friday 21 March 2014
Snowfall warning in effect for:

• Ottawa South - Richmond - Metcalfe

A heavy snowfall expected tonight.

It may be the first full day of spring, but it's no surprise that mother nature is still in a wintery mood. A potent disturbance currently over Minnesota is expected to carve a path across Southern Ontario tonight with the centre of low pressure likely to cross the Toronto area after midnight.

A period of heavy snow is expected beginning late this evening near Lake Huron reaching the Barrie area shortly after midnight and far Eastern Ontario later tonight. The snow is expected to be very heavy at times with snowfall rates of more than 3 centimetres per hour. Although the duration of snow is not expected to be significant, the accumulation of heavy snow will likely exceed 15 centimetres before it tapers off later tonight near Lake Huron and over Eastern Ontario Saturday morning.

Travellers are urged to use caution tonight into Saturday morning due to visibilities of 200 metres or less in heavy snow as well as significant and rapid accumulation on untreated roads.

Speaking of Spring...

There's been a curious shift in the modeling.  While next week is still going to be much colder than normal, the modeling has started to trend toward a flip to warmer weather (what!) during the last couple day of March continuing well in to April.    The GFS, Euro and Can. have a system coming through the Great Lakes late next week (exact timing and track TBC).  But after this storm, the trend on both the GFS and Euro ensembles (not so much on the JMA) is towards warming.  We shall see what we shall see...

Snow map for tomorrow

Welcome to Spring.   This looks very much like I posted on Monday.