Thursday, December 31, 2015

Happy New Year...a look forward

Happy New Year all!  I hope 2016 is fantastic for you all.

Short term look:
- Milder than normal temps until Sunday
- a few cms of snow Saturday night

Mid term look:
- Much colder Monday thru Wednesday, getting into the -20s C overnight.
- Rumours of another storm next weekend.

Longer term look
- General agreement in models that mid January will turn to cold, with seasonal to below seasonal temperatures (see maps below courtesy of Weatherbell).

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Latest radar loop...

Looks like one major band is starting to cross the Eastern Ontario region.

Enjoy this snow... it'll be the last one of significance for at least a week. 

Longer term, look for mid January for true winter to start for the areas that were warm in  December.

Monday, December 28, 2015

Lastest snow map

From the NAW/WRF model (map courtesy of Weatherbell), no change in timing:  late tonight to late tomorrow.

Sunday, December 27, 2015

Tuesday's snow

Snow will start late evening Monday or early morning of Tuesday, ending in the evening.  Most modeling is showing 6-10" of accumulations.

Here is the 60 hr snow totals from the NAM, map courtesy of Weatherbell.

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Wouldn't that be fun...

Five day snow total from the CGEM (map below courtesy of Weatherbell). 

Tonight precip starts late this evening as snow, changes over to ice pellets/freezing rain until mid-morning-ish with a change back to snow.

The next system will start late Monday in SW Ontario, moving NE hitting the Ottawa area by Tuesday morning.  More precise precip types/totals coming tomorrow as short range models start outputting for Tuesday.

Friday, December 25, 2015

I'm baaaacckkk...for some snow

For the holidays at least when there's snow in the forecast.  My predicament: no blog access at work, no time in the evenings.  The result, no posts.

Anyway, between now and Wednesday, we could get up to 30+ cms of snow, some this Sunday, most Tuesday.  Confidence is pretty high of significant accumulations, from the GFS (shown below, courtesy of Weatherbell) to ECMWF (heaviest north of Ottawa area) to CGEM which thumps us.