Saturday, October 25, 2014

A scary Halloween??

Two of the more reliable models are still calling for some downright messy weather late next week as the remnants of Pacific hurricane Ana pass through.   The GFS is showing us cold but scattered flurries at this point.  The Euro is definitely messier of the two, with several cms of snow predicted by to on Friday and again on Monday.

Snow or no, definitely looking like a cold end of the week into the weekend.

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Recent warm weather...

Before anybody starts claiming climate change, here are the record highs:

Oct. 13: 26.3C in 1995 (2014: 17.1C)
Oct. 14: 24.4C in 1956 (2014: 26.0C, a new record)
Oct. 15: 25.6C in 1956 (2014: 23.5C)
Oct. 16: 26.7C in 1947 (!) (I doubt we are getting anywhere close to that high today)
Oct. 17: 26.7C in 1947(another one!)
Oct. 18: 26.1C in 1947

Apparently October 1956 and 1947 were warm ones in Ottawa...

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Hurricane Hazel...

As Gonzalo is now a Cat3 hurricane and will likely impact Bermuda as such on Friday, it is good to remember historical hurricanes.  Today is the anniversary of the landfall of Hurricane Hazel in 1954 as a Cat4, an unprecedented and as yet unrepeated event for Southern Ontario as it maintained much of its strength coming northward causing vast amounts of damage.

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Eye of the storm

Cool satellite shot of the eye of Super Typhoon Vongfong.

Flakes in the air

There is a chance that, if there is precipitation first thing Thursday morning, it may be of the frozen kind.  Temperatures 5000ft up will be cold enough for snow but nothing will stick as surface temps will still be a few degrees above 0.

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Mid week chuckle

I usually enjoy Dilbert, but this one made me laugh out loud:

A balanced climate change article

From one of my favourite climatologists who, a decade ago, was touting the hurricane/climate change link as co-author of a couple papers on the issue.  However throughout the past decade, through discussions on her blog, her position has moderated drastically, acknowledging that models are not matching real data and there is far too much uncertainty to make economic policies that would be detrimental.

Here is an article profiling JC.

Monday, September 22, 2014

Summer's last hurrah...

Despite the Autumn equinox occurring tonight, we have a gorgeous week coming up, likely lasting through the weekend.

Take advantage.