Friday, September 23, 2011

Happy Autumn

We're into Fall as we enjoy some North American indigenous peoples summer weather.   The North pole won't see the sun for 175 days.

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Almost Fall

The Autumn Equinox happens at 5:04 AM this Friday, September 23rd.   Snow covers a good chunk of the Canadian Arctic Archipeligo.  The Arctic sea ice reached its minimum a week ago, second lowest in the satellite era (but not lowest in paleoclimatological record, discussed here) despite the very late start of the Eastern Canadian/Western Greenland freeze season due to a prolonged period of a strong negative AO atmospheric circulation (discussed here) which undoubtedly affected the melt season.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

"Missing Heat"

I just had to laugh.  You may have seen news articles proclaiming a new study that the "missing heat" may have been found in the deeeeeep ocean where there are very few measurements.

This study comes from Kevin Trenbeth, a man whose name was all over the Climategate files, blocking papers, forcing journal editors to resign, redefining peer-review and all kinds of other mischief.   But perhaps his most famous quote of Climategate was "The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."

The lack of warming is the fact that global atmospheric temperatures have been flat for the last 10 years.   The upper ocean heat content (0 - 700m) has been flat since 2003.   So the warmists have this theory that all this CO2 in the air has to force atmospheric and oceanic temperatures up and up and up and natural cycles be damned.   However, those darned observations are not agreeing with theory so the observations are inadequate.  Another Climategate Trenbeth quote: "but the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate."

So to reconcile the difference between theory and observations, the heat must be where we can't observe it, in the deep ocean.   That is discounting the reality that there is no physical mechanism where the upper ocean heat content can remain flat while the deep ocean increases in heat content for that length of time.   It's physically impossible.   But that doesn't necessarily stop the warmists from outputting garbage from a computer model.   Pielke Sr. has a discussion here.

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Frost in outlying areas this morning

Bancroft got down to -2C
Kemptville got down to OC
Petawawa got down to -1C
Gatineau got down to 0C.

Ottawa Airport?   4 C.   At least 4 C higher than anywhere else.    Urban Heat Island anyone?

Monday, September 12, 2011

First frost?

Frost may be coming to our region the last few days of this week.   Watch for Env. Canada's forecast low temps get lower as the week progresses.   They are currently predicting 11, 4 and 5 C for Thursday thru Saturday respectively.