Alternative energy...

Is not the answer to the climate change "problem".

And we wonder why our energy bills are so high...

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/08/30/renewable-energy-in-perspective-solar-and-wind-power/

Unfortunately Ontario has similar issues, hence our power bill...
http://www.ieso.ca/Pages/Power-Data/Supply.aspx

Global temps

Temperature anomalies over the last week.   It's been cold in a lot of places:

Super Typhoon Haiyan, alarmism vs realism

Is this storm bad?  Yes.
Is this storm a disaster for the Philippines?  Absolutely.
Is this storm the strongest of the season and one of the strongest of the satellite era?  Very likely.
Is this storm going be similar to Katrina with respect to the symbolism of the effects of Global Warming?  Definitely.

Some articles, oldest to newest.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/07/super-typhoon-haiyan-one-of-strongest-storms-ever-heads-for-philippines/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/09/super-typhoon-haiyanyolanda-another-overhyped-storm-that-didnt-match-early-reports/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/10/bjorn-lomborg-on-haiyanyolanda/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/10/tropical-cyclone-heat-potential-its-all-in-the-presentation/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/10/an-ethical-challenge-for-greg-laden-put-your-money-where-your-mouth-is/

Snicker...

MSM is johnny-come-lately to the story..my posts:
http://yfnwg.blogspot.ca/2013/08/tropical-storm-season-update.html
http://yfnwg.blogspot.ca/2013/09/update-to-tropical-storm-season.html
http://yfnwg.blogspot.ca/2013/09/tropical-season-update.html
http://yfnwg.blogspot.ca/2013/09/update-to-tropical-season-update.html

More IPCC report reactions

http://climateaudit.org/2013/09/30/marotzkes-broken-promise/
http://climateaudit.org/2013/09/30/ipcc-disappears-the-discrepancy/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/28/ipcc-diagnosis-permanent-paradigm-paralysis/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/29/how-the-ipcc-forgot-to-mention-the-pause/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/30/ipccs-pause-logic/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/01/ipcc-solar-variations-dont-matter/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/01/negotiating-the-ipcc-spm/
http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2013/09/27/kelly-mcparland-the-uns-latest-climate-change-report-could-serve-to-close-the-door-on-windbaggery/
http://opinion.financialpost.com/2013/09/30/ipcc-climate-global-warming/
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/09/ipcc-we-dont-need-no-stinking-climate-sensitivity/
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/09/the-global-warming-they-fear-is-not-based-upon-physical-first-principles/
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.ca/2013/09/five-points-on-ipcc-report-wonky-long.html

From the last article:
"5. There is not a strong scientific basis for claiming a discernible effect of human-caused climate change on hurricanes, floods, tornadoes or drought."

What's left for CAGW?  Maybe only the AGW part, in part....

New Summary for Policy Makers (SPM) from the IPCC

With the MSM falling over themselves to proclaim how certain scientists are that man is causing global warming...

Some reactions:
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/27/95/
http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/09/27/9000-nobel-pretenders/
http://www.staatvanhetklimaat.nl/2013/09/27/ar5-gives-no-best-estimate-for-climate-sensitivity-breaks-with-a-long-tradition-good-news-is-hidden-from-policy-makers/
http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2013/9/27/thoughts-on-the-spm.html
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2013/09/27/side-by-side-comparison-of-draft-and-final-ipcc-ar5-spm-on-warming-plateau-and-attribution/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/27/ipcc-fails-to-come-clean-over-global-temperature-standstill/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/27/new-ipcc-climate-report-already-obsolete-2/

I think it also helpful to note that there is a much less emphasis on GHG (greenhouse gases) such as CO2, but also on "other" anthroprogenic changes.  As touched on by Judy Curry post, what will the IPCC say when the current 10 year negative trend (not pause) extends out to 15 or 20 years (as I think it will)?  Will they admit that they were wrong?...not bloody likely.

As I comment in the national post article: This report is out of date already, stillborn, as recent studies that didn't make the deadline for incorporation into this report ARE cast doubt on the severity of AGW. The only way that the IPCC can raise their certainty is by being more certain about a more vague criteria...

But one of my favourite reaction is Ross McKitrick's comment here:

SPM in a nutshell: Since we started in 1990 we were right about the Arctic, wrong about the Antarctic, wrong about the tropical troposphere, wrong about the surface, wrong about hurricanes, wrong about the Himalayas, wrong about sensitivity, clueless on clouds and useless on regional trends. And on that basis we’re 95% confident we’re right.

Next IPCC report

Most of you are probably not aware of this, but the UN organization for Climate Change, the IPCC,  is shortly issuing their next report (done every four years), AR5, supposedly showing the current state of climate science.   As you might expect, there is a lot of controversy about it with various "leaks" coming out.   If you're interested, here are some articles about it:

http://opinion.financialpost.com/2013/09/16/ipcc-models-getting-mushy/
http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2013/09/16/matt-gurney-climate-scientists-it-wont-matter-if-youre-right-in-the-end-if-no-one-believes-you/
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324549004579067532485712464.html?mod=WSJEurope_hps_MIDDLE_Video_second
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/17/ridleys-riposte-to-john-abraham/
http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.ca/2013/09/global-temperature-trends-and-ipcc.html
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/17/consensus-denialism/
http://judithcurry.com/2013/09/15/leaked-ipcc-report-discussed-in-the-msm/
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/09/a-turning-point-for-the-ipcc-and-humanity/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/15/the-state-of-climate-science-fluxed-up/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/15/one-step-forward-two-steps-back/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/16/lomborg-climate-models-are-running-way-too-hot/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/16/what-people-will-read-and-see-with-the-ipccs-lead-off-illustration-from-the-ar5-spm/

That's for starters...

Temperatures

This is about as warm as we are going to get for a while as a "backdoor" cold front presses through this afternoon/evening.   A stronger front will come through on Sunday making early next week temperatures pretty close to normal.

Global temperature snapshot for the past week:


Temperature Anomaly (C) (14 Mar 2012 - 20 Mar 2012)



Weekly temperature update

Lest you think our warm temperatures are global in nature:



Temperature Anomaly (C) (07 Mar 2012 - 13 Mar 2012)



Next two weeks of temps

Welcome to spring weather.   Here are the next two weeks of temperature anomolies (based on the GFS model, source).   Note that there are going to be record highs broken in the big orange spot which includes Ottawa, and that is entirely due to the lack of snow cover in those areas, compared to normal due to the kind of winter we have had.   Note the continuing cold in eastern Eurasia and Alaska.

World and Canadian Arctic temps

Below is a snapshot of world temperature anomolies for the week Feb. 29th to Mar. 6th.   I noticed that the Canadian Arctic is shown colder than normal.  I wondered how cold.   The data tables below list the actual mean and normal mean temperatures for the week ending March 5th.  Brrrrr...

Weekly temperature snapshot

Again, this map is showing temperature anomolies or deviations from average for the past week.