Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Saturday and Tuesday

First, I am not quite getting the latest Env. Can forecast for Saturday (Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 11. High minus 6.).  It differs significantly from the Env. Can. model which is showing a significant clipper coming through Saturday morning giving us 5-10cms of snow.  So either Env. Can. has changed policy and forecasts do not necessarily follow the Env. Can. model or the meteorologist assigned to the region neglected to update the forecast.   I think it's the latter.   This all being said, the Euro is agreeing with the GEM (Env. Can. model) but the GFS and JMA are diving the clipper south of us, not giving us much of anything.   I will stick with the Euro and say that we will get a shovelable snow Friday night/Saturday morning.

Much to my disappointment but not to my surprise, the models have backed off from the monster storm next Tuesday for our area (the NE US may get clocked yet).  However there is general agreement of a 10-15 cm type event.   But that's a week away yet, things may coalesce yet. 

No comments:

Post a Comment