map update

I'm seeing about 5 cms, maybe more if ratios are high..precip shield from east coast storm spreading north and west... map from Accuweather...

 

Monday's storm is a bigger deal than this for us..

 



Quick update on the two storms...

Updated map:

Next week Monday's system is on the Euro, GFS, and Can..  So relatively high confidence that we will get something on Monday...ish.

Quick post...

Nothing much happening for us..  The snow potential that was for Thursday has shifted to the US NE with a major storm happening.  See map below.

Looks we will warm up a bit but there will be some mild temps in a back and forth pattern coming down the road for us later next week after a potential snow storm next Monday/Tuesday.  

Another just for fun map...

The latest Euro snow map for 16th...

The next week or so...

The storm that was supposedly coming Sunday fizzled out and well to the south.  So the next week will be pretty meh.   The temps will be at worst a little below normal, not too frigid.  It looks like the next snow of significance is next Thursday...

Stay tuned.

What if...

I've been meaning to post this for a while.

What if this happened in this decade or this year...   The Global Warming/Climate Change/Climate Disruption alarmists/fanatics would have a hey day.   Just sayin'.

Snow or no...

Quick post on the flip flop of Env. Can.   Yesterday's afternoon forecast had dropped any mention of snow for Ottawa proper.  However this afternoon's forecast they are calling for 5-10 cms.   This is all due to the RGEM, Env Can. short term model making adjustments where it thinks precipitation is.  I can sympathize with their predicament.   On all models there is a sharp demarcation between no snow and a bunch.  On all models, the northern edge of snow stretches from Lake Huron by southern Georgian Bay to the Ottawa region.   20-40 km separates no snow from this system to at least several cms.   We could have a situation we Ottawa proper get a dusting while Kemptville get 10 cms.  Or we cold have a situation where Pembroke gets zip and Ottawa gets the few cms worth.  There is a small margin of error.

So, if its snowing tomorrow morning when you get up, then it's likely we'll get at least a few cms.

Wednesday snow map

Not much snow for a while...

Officially Ottawa received about 18cms this past weekend.  So definitely on the low end of the 15-30 range.

The next few storms will be largely passing to our south.  Currently there is a storm hitting the US NE (radar pic below).  Wednesday's storm may give us a few cms (second map) but will largely pass us to south (but affect southern Ontario too). The storm next Sunday/Monday (third map) will again largely pass to the south, if current model outputs are correct.

I agree with Wiarton Willie.

http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Canada/2014/02/01/21440366.html