Friday, April 11, 2014

Still no agreement...

Among the models on whether we will get snow in the first half of next week.    The Euro is now the most gung-ho, the GFS second and now the Canadian is mostly missing us...  We are in for some rain on Sunday   Whether we get snow is dependent on whether the third disturbance that's riding the front will be timed with the arrival of cold air.

I don't agree with it entirely but for what it's worth, here is the Env. Can statement (see highlight):

3:21 PM EDT Friday 11 April 2014
Special weather statement in effect for:
  • Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans
  • Ottawa South - Richmond - Metcalfe
Significant rainfall from late Saturday night to early Tuesday morning.
Several disturbances with associated significant rainfall are expected to move across Southern Ontario in the next 3 days. There is still considerable uncertainty to determine exactly how much rain each disturbance will bring. However, indications at this time suggest the total rainfall amounts from late Saturday night to early Tuesday morning could be very high. Regions north of a line from Southern Lake Huron to the Ottawa and Prescott regions could end up with 50 mm to 75 mm. Rainfall amounts are expected to drop off sharply south of this line.

Please consult your local conservation authority or Ontario ministry of natural resources district office for more information on spring flood conditions.

In addition, rain is expected to switch to snow Monday night over regions east of Georgian Bay. Algonquin and Burk's Falls - Bayfield Inlet regions could end up with 5 to 10 cm of snow by Tuesday morning.

Environment Canada meteorologists will continue to monitor the developing systems closely and update this statement when necessary.
The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required or extended.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at

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