Tropical Storm Debby has most forecasters pulling their hair out. Even my man Bastardi has been a fish out of water, flip flopping forecasts(how's that for alliteration:). As noted in my previous post, models are having a heck of a time predicting this with a wide spread of predicted tracks. The problem is Debby is virtually stalled, not giving much indication of where she wants to go. Below are four graphics from the last three days from the National Hurricane Center of NOAA, the governmental "experts", who should be the best, given their resources. Note especially how much their forecasted track changes.
Monday, June 25, 2012
TS Debby
Update: I've added a precipitation map from Debby at the bottom. Flooding is Florida's main concern.
Tropical Storm Debby has most forecasters pulling their hair out. Even my man Bastardi has been a fish out of water, flip flopping forecasts(how's that for alliteration:). As noted in my previous post, models are having a heck of a time predicting this with a wide spread of predicted tracks. The problem is Debby is virtually stalled, not giving much indication of where she wants to go. Below are four graphics from the last three days from the National Hurricane Center of NOAA, the governmental "experts", who should be the best, given their resources. Note especially how much their forecasted track changes.
Tropical Storm Debby has most forecasters pulling their hair out. Even my man Bastardi has been a fish out of water, flip flopping forecasts(how's that for alliteration:). As noted in my previous post, models are having a heck of a time predicting this with a wide spread of predicted tracks. The problem is Debby is virtually stalled, not giving much indication of where she wants to go. Below are four graphics from the last three days from the National Hurricane Center of NOAA, the governmental "experts", who should be the best, given their resources. Note especially how much their forecasted track changes.
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