What had me banging my head this morning was the Euro model. As I explained yesterday, it was showing a significant storm as it phased energy in the northern and southern jetstreams...until I looked at the overnight run. That run had completed pushed the system southeast and off the coast, not really affecting us at all.
But on the 12Z run, it had brought the system back in. However, it has now a system that is on par with the other models, giving us a 6-10cm layer of snow, depending how much rain mixes in.