Friday, May 25, 2012

Next weekend


While I don't disagree with the "inference" made by this day 6-10 map from NOAA, it isn't an actual forecast.  It is a probability scheme that can't be falsified.   For example, let's take the Ottawa region which looks to be in the 50-60% chance region of cooler than normal temps.   If however, the temperatures turn out to be above normal in reality, the map is still not wrong because according to the map there is 40 - 50% chance that Ottawa will be at or above normal.   The probabilities have to add up to 100%.
This non-forecast is a bane to many meteorologist because it gives misleading inferences and can't be shown to be incorrect.

Thursday, May 24, 2012

This weekend

No arguments with the EC forecast.   Saturday looks fabulous and some wet stuff moving in later on Sunday.

Fun fact

Looks like Will.I.Am owns a S-92, the commercial version of the helicoptor I've been working on for the last 7 years.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Another weekend outlook

Still awesome.

Clouds may roll in late Monday as another cool front presses in.   But the timing is still up in the air (ha! I'm punny) as the Euro model has it coming overnight.

Monday, May 14, 2012

Mostly nice

Awesomeness today, no?  Expect much of the same, except a little cooler late week after a cool front comes through on Wednesday.

Friday, May 4, 2012

May "meh" season

Tis the season of "meh", the season in which nothing much happens weather-wise, placid May.   The time for major snowstorms is generally done for major population areas and tropical storm season gets revved up next season.

So to pass the time, I thought I'd pass along a website where you can see all kinds of climatic data in a graphical format.   I will add the link to my sidebar.  Peruse through atmospheric, ocean, solar, etc. data from various data sets with comparisons between.    You can see for yourself that by looking at actual data as opposed to computer models, the sceptical side for the climate change debate have plenty of reasons to be sceptical.

Thursday, May 3, 2012

Polar Bears, Part III

Rumours of drowning polar bears are greatly exaggerated.   This flies in the face of CAGW propaganda like Al Gore's "The Inconvenient Truth" and documentaries like "Planet Earth" which depicts a bear swimming and swimming until he reaches shore but is too weak to hunt some elephant seals and dies.   I nearly threw out my copy of Planet Earth when I saw that BS.

Previous Polar Bear posts here and here.