Next opportunities for snow

The opportunity that I posted about earlier this week dissappeared off the models.   But have no fear snow lovers.  The GFS model has a clipper type feature bringing the possibility of snow around the 24th and then a bigger storm around the 28th.   Fingers crossed!

US Tornado count...

Nearing modern era record low:

Is AGW/Climate Change making drought bigger/longer?

Nope.

Calm before the storm?

There is a pretty strong model consensus that the mostly sunny but cool weather will continue until early next week.  Beyond that, it gets a little hairy.  The Euro brings in a Nor'easter that gives us shovelable snow later next week but the GFS delays it to the following week...

This week

After the vigorous cold front tonight (which could see some snow on its tail end), the rest of the week looks cool but pretty unoffensive.

Fred

Hints coming in

Things like the North Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation indices are projected to both go negative towards the end of the month.  If all these pieces fit together nicely, we may a signficant snow then.   But it's early.

The next few days

Whilst the prairies are getting blasted by a blizzard, we will have warm up this weekend.   I really don't see the ice rain that Env Can is calling for Saturday night given the warmer air coming in.  

Sunday and Monday should be mild but with no precip (EnvCan currently has a 60 and 40% chance of showers both days).  

Overnight into Tuesday will see a cold front coming through with a fair amount of rain and perhaps some snow on the back side of it. 

It'll stay cool for a few days with next weekend warming up again.

Transitory weather pattern

Cooler than normal for a few days.  Warmer than normal for a few days.  Cooler than normal for a few days.   Both GFS and Euro calling for a lot of rain early next week.

A dusting of snow

Walking home from the busstop, I noticed that there was a dusting of snow that stuck, but didn't cover the ground.  We'll see if Env. Can. can measure that.

Keep on banging away

At the BS button.

1954 to 1960:  8 Major Hurricanes impacting the US coast line.   Last Major Hurricane to impact US, Hurricane Wilma, 2005.